Seminarium:
Teoria prawdopodobieństwa i modelowanie stochastyczne
Osoba referująca:
Chengxiu Ling (Southwest University, Chongqing, China)
Data:
czwartek, 11. Październik 2018 - 12:15
Sala:
602
Opis:
This paper is concerned with approximations of marginal moment excess,
marginal moment shortfall and conditional tail moment in the framework of
multivariate Gaussian system risks. Super-exponential and polynomial
convergence speed of those quantities of risk contagions are obtained by
its dimension reduction property via the quadratic programming. A
sufficient and necessary condition is given to alternate the convergence
speed via the risk threshold, correlation matrix and moment order. An
interesting application involved in the minimal additional risk capital
assigned by risk regulators is given to avoid infinite risk contagions
with an illustrating example. Our theoretical results have potential
applications in quantitative risk management, including risk allocations
and multivariate conditional risk measures of tail covariance, tail
skewness with dependence and extremal risk contagions under consideration.